“‘Six furlongs in 1:13 equals seven furlongs in 1:26 and a fifth’ was my E=MC2,” Beyer says, laughing. How fast is this horse?īeyer took a stack of old Daily Racing Forms and did the laborious math by hand, sifting through years of data, applying the analytical skills he had developed as a games-playing child. You know what I want to find out from a racing form? One thing. But then again, since I haven’t run any statistical studies, this belief of mine is based on zero evidence as well. It just feels old-fashioned and unstatistical. It feels distracting and possibly irrelevant, like when the old-time scouts in Moneyball are focused on how hot a player’s girlfriend is. Personally, and this is based on zero study, but I suspect there’s all together too much focus on breeding in horses. Up top we’ve got some basic info about the horse, like who owns her (f=filly), and her mom (Dam) and dad (Sire). Let’s take as our example the first horse, Route Six Six, in the 7th race tomorrow (Saturday, June 20) at Santa Anita. I’d like to try and summarize my learnings for you, to save you the time in case you’re interested, and because the easiest way to really learn something is to try and teach it. This resource at Art of Manliness was also quite helpful, and there’s a Wikihow about racing forms, but it’s Benoit who really gave us a gift. Using the very helpful resources provided by the late Neil Benoit’s Getting Out Of The Gate website, which has a Racing 101-401 course, I was able to grasp the basics.
SOLE VOLANTE MEANING HOW TO
Studying to find value - into it! I resolved to learn how to read a Racing Form, and try to glean some information from it that might give an edge.
SOLE VOLANTE MEANING PROFESSIONAL
In the book, Raymer describes learning from the professional gambler and line-setter Dink: The book was made into a 2012 film starring Bruce Willis and Catherine Zeta-Jones. This talk of laying favorites reminded me of my friend Beth Raymer’s book, Lay The Favorite: A Memoir of Gambling. I don’t think this strategy would be financially viable here. (2) the strategy outperforms the Credit Suisse Hedge fund Index and S&P 500 Total returns on average for the last 6 years.Ĭan this be so? A quick investigation reveals that “laying the favorite” in this way doesn’t seem to be a commonplace option in US horse betting. (1) this type of horse racing strategy provide uncorrelated returns to the market The authors take a simple betting strategy based on Horse races in the UK and invest consistently on laying (betting on the event not to occur) the 4 favourite horses (with the lowest odds) in each race. I chanced recently across this academic paper, Sports Betting As a New Asset Class, by Lovjit Thukral and Pedro Vergel. It addresses the possible money-making potential of a strategy of “laying the favorite.” Hemingway said.įrom the Lillian Ross New Yorker profile of Hemingway. And learn the form and try and pick winners in the blue, smoky afternoons, and then go out the next day to play them at Auteuil and Enghien.” Walk over all the town and see where we made our mistakes and where we had our few bright ideas. Find good, cheap restaurants where you can keep your own napkin. Want to go to cafés where I know no one but one waiter and his replacement, see all the new pictures and the old ones, go to the bike races and the fights, and see the new riders and fighters.
“Am going in the back door and have no interviews and no publicity and never get a haircut, like in the old days. “I love to go back to Paris,” Hemingway said, his eyes still fixed on the road.
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